Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Marko Topo		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2	1.7	Watch
	1.86	1.91
	1.89	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.09)	1.81 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
48.8%

Giovanni Fonio
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marko Topo's performance.

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giovanni Fonio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marko Topo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Fonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Marko Topo - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fonio will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 417. Fonio is ranked ATP: 376.

Two players are playing changeable.

Fonio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	Felix Gill - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Kane Bonsach Ganley - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.25	Marko Topo - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Marko Topo - Sergio Martos Gornes	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Mili Poljicak - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL
- Giovanni Fonio
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gauthier Onclin - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Julian Messina - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL

Marko Topo - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide