Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 3 (United Kingdom), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday


	Lukas Pokorny		Milos Karol

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)	1.89 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
50.9%

Milos Karol
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Lukas Pokorny - Milos Karol Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pokorny will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Karol will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pokorny: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pokorny is ranked ATP: 514. Karol is ranked ATP: 421.

Pokorny in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Karol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pokorny to win the game is with odds 1.85.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pokorny won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:0 (average 1.2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Milos Karol - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
07.01.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Harry Wendelken - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Lui Maxted - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.11.24	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Rares Teodor Pieleanu - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
07.01.25	Milos Karol - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Milos Karol - Oleg Prihodko	0:2 ✺
18.11.24	Oleg Prihodko - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Filiberto Fumagalli - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Borna Coric - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.09.24	Milos Karol - Lukas Pokorny	0:2
09.11.23	Lukas Pokorny - Milos Karol	N/A
06.07.22	Lukas Pokorny - Milos Karol	2:0
06.04.22	Milos Karol - Lukas Pokorny	Karol M. retired
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
27.08.20	Milos Karol - Lukas Pokorny	0:2

Lukas Pokorny - Milos Karol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide