Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Tom Paris		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	2.58	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.94)	1.45 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
36%

Ilia Simakin
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tom Paris - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 344. Simakin is ranked ATP: 220.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Simakin is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Raphael Perot - Tom Paris	Paris T. retired ✺
19.03.26	Kenny De Schepper - Tom Paris	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Matisse Bobichon - Tom Paris	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Tom Paris - Yosuke Watanuki	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WWL?
- Ilia Simakin
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Ilia Simakin - Kuan-Yi Lee	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Ilia Simakin - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Ilia Simakin - Shaoyun Liu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.02.26	Ilia Simakin - Alastair Gray	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Ilia Simakin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW

Tom Paris - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide