Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Lulu Sun		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.28	1.56
	2.3	1.65
	1.72	1.72	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.31	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.46)	1.61 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lulu Sun
42.2%

Paula Badosa
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lulu Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked WTA: 100. Badosa is ranked WTA: 106.

Sun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Badosa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Badosa might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Badosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Paula Badosa - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.28%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lulu Sun
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Emma Navarro - Lulu Sun	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
03.03.26	Lulu Sun - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Lulu Sun - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
WTA Austin
24.02.26	Lulu Sun - Caroline Dolehide	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Lulu Sun - Magda Linette	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- Paula Badosa
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Paula Badosa - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:1 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
04.03.26	Yulia Putintseva - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.26	Paula Badosa - Elina Svitolina	Badosa P. retired ✺
16.02.26	Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
08.02.26	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WL?W?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
16.02.25	Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa	0:2
19.02.24	Paula Badosa - Lulu Sun	Badosa P. retired

Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide