Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Katerina Siniakova		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.89	2
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katerina Siniakova
51%

Paula Badosa
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katerina Siniakova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Badosa will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siniakova: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Siniakova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Badosa (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 44. Badosa is ranked WTA: 64.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Siniakova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siniakova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Katerina Siniakova - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Katerina Siniakova - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Panna Udvardy - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
14.01.26	Diana Shnaider - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Paula Badosa
WTA Doha
08.02.26	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	Canceled ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
02.02.26	Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Paula Badosa - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Canceled ✺
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Zarina Diyas - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 ?L?LW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
10.02.25	Paula Badosa - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled

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