Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.63	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.47
	2.6	1.55
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.58	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.48)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
36.5%

Alexander Bublik
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Mackenzie McDonald aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Alexander Bublik aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mackenzie McDonald - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 21 - 25%). Bublik will win (votes: 63 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 65.7% – 84.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bublik will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches McDonald won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
23.10.20	Mackenzie McDonald - Martin Klizan	1:2 ✺
22.10.20	Nino Serdarusic - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
20.10.20	Mackenzie McDonald - Teymuraz Gabashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP St Petersburg
12.10.20	Alexander Bublik - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.09.20	Mackenzie McDonald - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP St Petersburg
15.10.20	Alexander Bublik - Milos Raonic	0:2 ✺
12.10.20	Alexander Bublik - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.09.20	Alexander Bublik - Lorenzo Sonego	0:3 ✺
28.09.20	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
25.09.20	Alexander Bublik - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP St Petersburg
12.10.20	Alexander Bublik - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1

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