Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Gael Monfils		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.75	1.45
	2.94	1.45
	2.77	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.78	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.65)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
34.2%

Alexander Bublik
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Bublik will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Monfils (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Monfils (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gael Monfils will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Monfils (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 199. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

In recent matches, Monfils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bublik has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bublik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Monfils won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Gael Monfils - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Gael Monfils - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW
- Alexander Bublik
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alexander Bublik - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
02.08.23	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Australian Open
19.01.22	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	3:0
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	1:3

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