Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Alexander Bublik		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.46	2.7
	1.43	2.8
	1.49	2.84
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	2.78 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
65.8%

Mackenzie McDonald
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.3%	0%	12.7%

Alexander Bublik - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (55 of 63 users predict this - 87.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.08% – 95.52%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches McDonald is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bublik is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bublik to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Mallorca
27.06.23	Alexander Bublik - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	Canceled ✺
ATP Halle
25.06.23	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
24.06.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
23.06.23	Alexander Bublik - Jannik Sinner	Bublik A. retired ✺
22.06.23	Alexander Bublik - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 ?WW?W
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Eastbourne
01.07.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
29.06.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
28.06.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
27.06.23	Marco Cecchinato - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP London
19.06.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Astana
28.10.20	Mackenzie McDonald - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP St Petersburg
12.10.20	Alexander Bublik - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1

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