Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Torella D. (Ita)


	Mackenzie McDonald		James Duckworth

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.57	2.2
	1.64	2.29
	1.14	5.3	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.13	5.43	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	3.13 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
68.2%

James Duckworth
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mackenzie McDonald's performance.

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Duckworth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mackenzie McDonald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Duckworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Mackenzie McDonald - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Duckworth will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 93. Duckworth is ranked ATP: 81.

Two players are playing changeable.

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

McDonald will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches McDonald won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.24	Mattia Bellucci - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
25.07.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Newport
18.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWL
- James Duckworth
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.24	Reilly Opelka - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	James Duckworth - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
27.06.24	James Duckworth - Mark Lajal	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	James Duckworth - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
07.10.21	Mackenzie McDonald - James Duckworth	2:0

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