Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Atlanta (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Brandon Nakashima		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.52	2.67
	1.51	2.64	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.52	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	2.59 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
63.2%

Mackenzie McDonald
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). McDonald will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakashima will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Newport
17.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	1:3 ✺
03.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Jordan Thompson	3:0 ✺
01.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Newport
18.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Billy Harris - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Mackenzie McDonald	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.24	Mackenzie McDonald - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	N/A
ATP Acapulco
01.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	2:3
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2
ATP Challenger
20.11.20	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

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