Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 7 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	22:40	ESPN 2, ESPN 4
Czech Republic	03:40	Eurosport 1
Denmark	03:40	Eurosport 1
Finland	04:40	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	03:40	Eurosport 1
Hungary	03:40	Eurosport 1
Italy	03:40	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	03:40	Eurosport 1
Norway	03:40	Eurosport 1
Poland	03:40	Eurosport 1
Portugal	02:40	Eurosport 1
Sweden	03:40	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Turkey	04:40	Eurosport 1
International	01:40	Eurosport 1


	Madison Keys		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.3	1.35
	3.2	1.37
	3.27	1.39
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.41	Watch
	3.15	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
29.9%

Aryna Sabalenka
70.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

72.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.8%	0%	73.2%

Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 59.6% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.

In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Keys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA US Open
06.09.23	Marketa Vondrousova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Madison Keys - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
31.08.23	Yanina Wickmayer - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
29.08.23	Arantxa Rus - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA US Open
06.09.23	Qinwen Zheng - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Darya Kasatkina - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Clara Burel - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Jodie Anna Burrage - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
29.08.23	Maryna Zanevska - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
12.07.23	Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Berlin
16.06.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.18	Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka