Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 September 2023, Monday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York)


	Madison Keys		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.54
	2.45	1.59
	2.45	1.62
	2.38	1.57
	2.46	1.55	Watch
	2.55	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.43)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
38.8%

Jessica Pegula
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.2%	0%	73.8%

Madison Keys - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 11 - 26.2%). Pegula will win (votes: 31 - 73.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 60.5% – 87.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Keys is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pegula is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pegula will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Keys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA US Open
02.09.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
31.08.23	Yanina Wickmayer - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
29.08.23	Arantxa Rus - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.23	Madison Keys - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
10.08.23	Jasmine Paolini - Madison Keys	Paolini J. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWL?
- Jessica Pegula
WTA US Open
02.09.23	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
31.08.23	Patricia Maria Tig - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
29.08.23	Camila Giorgi - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.23	Marie Bouzkova - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Martina Trevisan - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA San Diego
14.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0

Madison Keys - Jessica Pegula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide