Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Madison Keys		Cori Gauff

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.48
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	3.03	1.44
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.64	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.78)	1.46 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
34.5%

Cori Gauff
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cori Gauff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.8%	0%	62.2%

Madison Keys - Cori Gauff Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 17 - 38.6%). Gauff will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gauff: 47% – 75.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Gauff (votes: 16 - 55.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Games, 1st Set - Gauff (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Gauff (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Gauff (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Gauff (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Games, 2nd Set - Gauff (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5.5 Games - Keys (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 14 - 40%). Gauff (votes: 21 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 8. Gauff is ranked WTA: 2.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Gauff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Gauff will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Roland Garros
02.06.25	Madison Keys - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Madison Keys - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
29.05.25	Madison Keys - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Madison Keys - Daria Saville	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.25	Madison Keys - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL
- Cori Gauff
WTA Roland Garros
02.06.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Marie Bouzkova - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Tereza Valentova - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
27.05.25	Olivia Gadecki - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
17.05.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
29.04.24	Cori Gauff - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA Eastbourne
30.06.23	Madison Keys - Cori Gauff	2:0
WTA Dubai
23.02.23	Madison Keys - Cori Gauff	0:2
WTA US Open
02.09.22	Madison Keys - Cori Gauff	0:2
WTA Adelaide 2
14.01.22	Cori Gauff - Madison Keys	1:2

Madison Keys - Cori Gauff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide