Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 3
Germany	Sky Sport Top event


	Madison Keys		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.44	3.01
	1.44	2.99	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)	2.98 ↑ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
67.8%

Elise Mertens
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Madison Keys - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: Madison Keys will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 14. Mertens is ranked WTA: 35.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Keys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Keys is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Keys won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA US Open
28.08.24	Madison Keys - Maya Joint	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Madison Keys - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
08.08.24	Peyton Stearns - Madison Keys	Stearns P. retired ✺
WTA Wimbledon
07.07.24	Jasmine Paolini - Madison Keys	Paolini J. retired ✺
05.07.24	Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WW??W
- Elise Mertens
WTA US Open
28.08.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Veronika Kudermetova - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Elise Mertens - Saisai Zheng	Canceled
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.24	Elise Mertens - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
09.08.24	Elise Mertens - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
15.08.23	Madison Keys - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.21	Elise Mertens - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Australian Open
18.01.19	Elise Mertens - Madison Keys	0:1
WTA US Open
29.08.17	Elise Mertens - Madison Keys	0:2

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