Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6, SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hungary	Match 4
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 6, Sportklub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Elise Mertens		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.5	1.58
	2.44	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.27)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
40%

Marta Kostyuk
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	0%	82.1%

Elise Mertens - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: Marta Kostyuk will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 35. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 20.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kostyuk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kostyuk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mertens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Toronto
09.08.24	Elise Mertens - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
08.08.24	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Elise Mertens - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
WTA Washington
29.07.24	Elise Mertens - Emma Raducanu	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.24	Emma Raducanu - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLL
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Toronto
09.08.24	Emma Navarro - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Elina Svitolina - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
06.08.24	Tatjana Maria - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
31.07.24	Marta Kostyuk - Donna Vekic	1:2 ✺
30.07.24	Maria Sakkari - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
17.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Elise Mertens	2:1
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.22	Elise Mertens - Marta Kostyuk	2:0

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