Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	SportKlub
Brazil	15:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	20:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	20:00	TV2 Sport X
France	20:00	beIN Sports
Germany	20:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	21:00	Nova Sports
Poland	20:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	21:00	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	20:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	21:00	Setanta Sports


	Madison Keys		Ons Jabeur

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.75
	2.15	1.72	Watch
	2.18	1.77
	2.2	1.67
	2.11	1.74	Watch
	2.21	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.13)	1.72 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
44.3%

Ons Jabeur
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ons Jabeur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ons Jabeur than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.9%	0%	71.1%

Madison Keys - Ons Jabeur Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Jabeur will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jabeur: 57.9% – 84.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Keys is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jabeur is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Keys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Jabeur to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Keys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Madrid
29.04.24	Cori Gauff - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Madison Keys - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Madison Keys - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.24	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
25.03.24	Madison Keys - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLL
- Ons Jabeur
WTA Madrid
29.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Ons Jabeur	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ons Jabeur	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Ons Jabeur	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.24	Jasmine Paolini - Ons Jabeur	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ons Jabeur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA San Jose
03.08.22	Ons Jabeur - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
24.08.20	Madison Keys - Ons Jabeur	0:2

Madison Keys - Ons Jabeur