The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madison Keys 36.2%
Paula Badosa 63.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
55.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
55.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madison Keys's form might have worsened.
Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madison Keys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Madison Keys - Paula Badosa Predictions
Users Predictions:
Paula Badosa will win
(90 of 105 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.02% – 92.4%.The data is statistically significant.