Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Paula Badosa		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.48	2.75
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	2.83 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
66.4%

Darya Kasatkina
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Paula Badosa - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 59., and Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 87..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 4.

Badosa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kasatkina has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kasatkina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Badosa carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Badosa has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 0.9:0.8 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Paula Badosa - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.46%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Sao Paulo
19.09.26	Nadia Podoroska - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Mary Stoiana - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Justina Mikulskyte - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Darja Semenistaja - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWW?
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Singapore
20.09.26	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.26	Darya Kasatkina - Zeynep Sonmez	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
05.08.26	Darya Kasatkina - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Xin Yu Wang - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
02.09.26	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	0:2
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.25	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	2:0
WTA Ningbo
19.10.24	Paula Badosa - Darya Kasatkina	Badosa P. retired
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.24	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	1:2
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.23	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	0:2
WTA Adelaide 2
12.01.23	Paula Badosa - Darya Kasatkina	Kasatkina D. walkover
WTA San Jose
06.08.22	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	2:0

Paula Badosa - Darya Kasatkina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide