Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Orleans - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Orleans 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mae Malige		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.13	1.69
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	1.86	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.88)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mae Malige
45.7%

Alexey Vatutin
54.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mae Malige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Mae Malige - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Malige will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Vatutin will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malige: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mae Malige will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Malige is ranked ATP: 500. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 345.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Malige may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malige won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mae Malige
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Mae Malige - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Mae Malige - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Mae Malige - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Antoine Escoffier - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLLW
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Louis Tessa	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.10.23	Mae Malige - Alexey Vatutin	0:2

Mae Malige - Alexey Vatutin