Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez (France) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Referee: Morlat L. (Fra)


	Mae Malige		Louis Tessa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.46
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.52	Watch
	1.58	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	2.34 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mae Malige
60.2%

Louis Tessa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mae Malige's performance.

Louis Tessa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louis Tessa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mae Malige that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louis Tessa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louis Tessa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mae Malige - Louis Tessa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Malige is ranked ATP: 692. Tessa is ranked ATP: 746.

Two players are playing changeable.

Tessa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mae Malige
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Mathias Bourgue - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.24	Marat Sharipov - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.24	Mae Malige - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
18.07.24	Mae Malige - Umberto Giovannini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW
- Louis Tessa
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Louis Tessa - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.24	Louis Tessa - Samir Hamza Reguig	0:2 ✺
11.09.24	Alexandre Aubriot - Louis Tessa	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Artur Kukasian - Louis Tessa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW

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