Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Pszczyna, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Mae Malige		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.89
	1.07	6.66	Watch
	1.33	2.9
	1.33	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.51)	3.88 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mae Malige
75.1%

Matthew Donald
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mae Malige's performance.

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Donald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mae Malige that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Donald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mae Malige - Matthew Donald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Malige is ranked ATP: 519. Donald is ranked ATP: 588.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Donald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Malige is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mae Malige
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Mae Malige - Marcel Kamrowski	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Mika Brunold - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Vincent Reisach - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Flynn Thomas - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Mae Malige - Tibo Colson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
24.02.26	Kacper Knitter - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Matthew Donald - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Matthew Donald - Stijn Slump	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Matthew Donald - David Eichenseher	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Mae Malige - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide