Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Matthew Donald		Martin Krumich

	1	2
			Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.80	1.41	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.80	1.45
	2.73	1.40	Watch
	2.70	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
34.1%

Martin Krumich
65.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Martin Krumich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matthew Donald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Krumich than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Krumich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matthew Donald - Martin Krumich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 460., and Krumich is ranked ATP: 254..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Krumich could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Krumich holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Donald has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.98%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Martin Krumich - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Matthew Donald	Giustino L. Retired ✺
29.09.26	Olle Wallin - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Matthew Donald - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Matthew Donald - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Dali Blanch - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?WWWL
- Martin Krumich
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Pierluigi Basile - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Martin Krumich	Lopez Morillo I. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Martin Krumich - Dominik Recek	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Tom Gentzsch - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Kacper Knitter - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Matthew Donald - Martin Krumich	0:2
ITF Tournaments
20.09.23	Martin Krumich - Matthew Donald	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Alexander Weis - Matthew Donald	✺

Matthew Donald - Martin Krumich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide