Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Mai Hontama		Arianne Hartono

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.62	2.17
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	2.19 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
57.5%

Arianne Hartono
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.

Arianne Hartono has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arianne Hartono might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arianne Hartono than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arianne Hartono could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mai Hontama - Arianne Hartono Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartono (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 187. Hartono is ranked WTA: 177.

Hontama is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hartono is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hontama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hontama won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Arianne Hartono - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Mai Hontama - Kayo Nishimura	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Nikola Bartunkova - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Tereza Valentova - Mai Hontama	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Viktoria Hruncakova - Mai Hontama	Canceled ✺
14.03.25	Mai Hontama - Priscilla Hon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLL?L
- Arianne Hartono
ITF Tournaments
21.04.25	Arianne Hartono - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Arianne Hartono - Ayano Shimizu	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Linda Klimovicova - Arianne Hartono	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Arianne Hartono - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Arianne Hartono - Kristina Novak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hua Hin 2
20.09.24	Mai Hontama - Arianne Hartono	1:2
WTA Osaka
15.09.23	Mai Hontama - Arianne Hartono	2:1
WTA US Open
25.08.23	Arianne Hartono - Mai Hontama	2:0

Mai Hontama - Arianne Hartono: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide