Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Arianne Hartono		Mananchaya Sawangkaew

	1	2
			Watch
	2.92	1.37
	2.98	1.36	Watch
	2.89	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.5)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arianne Hartono
31.8%

Mananchaya Sawangkaew
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arianne Hartono has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arianne Hartono's form might have worsened.

Mananchaya Sawangkaew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mananchaya Sawangkaew's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arianne Hartono than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mananchaya Sawangkaew than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Arianne Hartono - Mananchaya Sawangkaew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hartono is ranked WTA: 176. Sawangkaew is ranked WTA: 112.

Hartono is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sawangkaew is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sawangkaew could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sawangkaew will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arianne Hartono
ITF Tournaments
08.04.25	Arianne Hartono - Ayano Shimizu	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Linda Klimovicova - Arianne Hartono	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Arianne Hartono - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Arianne Hartono - Kristina Novak	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Arianne Hartono - Priscilla Hon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
12.04.25	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Joanna Garland	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Lulu Sun	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Dayeon Back - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Sahaja Yamalapalli - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Yamalapalli S. retired ✺
08.04.25	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Hong Yi Cody Wong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLW?W

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