Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Vancouver, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Mai Hontama		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.67	2.07
	1.79	2.12
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.73	2.09
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
54.9%

Himeno Sakatsume
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Himeno Sakatsume has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mai Hontama - Himeno Sakatsume Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hontama will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sakatsume will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 189. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 138.

Hontama is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sakatsume has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hontama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hontama won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mai Hontama - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.94%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Mai Hontama - Jia-Jing Lu	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Kayla Day - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
WTA Prague
23.07.26	Mai Hontama - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Diane Parry - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Valentina Ryser - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- Himeno Sakatsume
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Ariana Arseneault - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Hong Yi Cody Wong - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Fiona Crawley - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Fiona Crawley - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
WTA Nottingham
14.06.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Alicia Dudeney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Mai Hontama	2:0
ITF Tournaments
04.09.23	Mai Hontama - Himeno Sakatsume	Hontama M. retired
04.03.20	Himeno Sakatsume - Mai Hontama	1:2

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