Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Maik Steiner		Martin Van Der Meerschen

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.78	1.99
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.51)	1.98 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maik Steiner
53.1%

Martin Van Der Meerschen
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maik Steiner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maik Steiner's form might have worsened.

Martin Van Der Meerschen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martin Van Der Meerschen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maik Steiner than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maik Steiner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Van Der Meerschen than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Van Der Meerschen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maik Steiner - Martin Van Der Meerschen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Steiner is ranked ATP: 782. Van Der Meerschen is ranked ATP: 843.

Steiner is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Van Der Meerschen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Steiner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Steiner could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maik Steiner
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Max Houkes - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Marlon Vankan - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Dmytro Shirokyi - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Maik Steiner	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Maik Steiner - Daniel Paty	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWLW
- Martin Van Der Meerschen
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Rodrigo Alujas	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Martin Van Der Meerschen	Neuchrist M. retired ✺
08.10.25	Jordi Garcia Mestre - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Maximilian Homberg - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 W?WLW

Maik Steiner - Martin Van Der Meerschen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide