Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Maja Chwalinska		Anhelina Kalinina

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.7	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.73	1.47	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.84)	1.47 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maja Chwalinska
36.1%

Anhelina Kalinina
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maja Chwalinska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maja Chwalinska's form might have worsened.

Anhelina Kalinina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anhelina Kalinina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maja Chwalinska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anhelina Kalinina than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anhelina Kalinina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Maja Chwalinska - Anhelina Kalinina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalinina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Anhelina Kalinina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 145. Kalinina is ranked WTA: 178.

Recent performances by Chwalinska have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kalinina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kalinina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Kalinina will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maja Chwalinska - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maja Chwalinska
WTA Australian Open
13.01.26	Rebeka Masarova - Maja Chwalinska	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Maja Chwalinska - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
03.01.26	Gabriela Knutson - Maja Chwalinska	2:0 ✺
02.01.26	Hanyu Guo - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.12.25	Luisina Giovannini - Maja Chwalinska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL
- Anhelina Kalinina
WTA Australian Open
13.01.26	Anouk Koevermans - Anhelina Kalinina	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Joanna Garland	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
01.01.26	Anna Bondar - Anhelina Kalinina	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.12.25	Anhelina Kalinina - Elsa Jacquemot	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cristina Bucsa - Anhelina Kalinina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

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