Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Montreux, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Maja Chwalinska		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.62	2.34
	1.37	2.82	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)	2.3 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maja Chwalinska
58.9%

Arantxa Rus
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Maja Chwalinska - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chwalinska will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Rus will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rus: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Chwalinska (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chwalinska (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rus (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 177. Rus is ranked WTA: 131.

In recent matches, Chwalinska has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maja Chwalinska - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 56.95%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Maja Chwalinska - Oksana Selekhmeteva	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Jil Belen Teichmann - Maja Chwalinska	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Maja Chwalinska - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Georgia Pedone - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
16.07.25	Maja Chwalinska - Jil Belen Teichmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL
- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Dalila Spiteri - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
22.08.25	Tereza Valentova - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Jodie Anna Burrage - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

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