Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: San Sebastian, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday


	Tamara Korpatsch		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.84	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.89)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamara Korpatsch
49.9%

Arantxa Rus
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamara Korpatsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 153. Rus is ranked WTA: 135.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korpatsch won 4.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Rus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Korpatsch won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamara Korpatsch
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Mayar Sherif - Tamara Korpatsch	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Alize Cornet	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Tina Nadine Smith	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Emily Seibold	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL
- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Eva Vedder - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Maja Chwalinska - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Dalila Spiteri - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	0:2
22.09.22	Arantxa Rus - Tamara Korpatsch	1:2
ITF Tournaments
10.09.22	Arantxa Rus - Tamara Korpatsch	0:2
ATP Challenger
30.03.22	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	2:1
WTA Linz
06.10.19	Arantxa Rus - Tamara Korpatsch	1:2
ITF Tournaments
26.01.18	Arantxa Rus - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0

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