Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rende, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Maja Chwalinska		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.74	2.12
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)	2.05 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maja Chwalinska
54.4%

Darja Semenistaja
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maja Chwalinska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Maja Chwalinska - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chwalinska will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Semenistaja will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Semenistaja: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chwalinska (votes: 1 - 50%). Semenistaja (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Semenistaja (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chwalinska (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Semenistaja (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 135. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 104.

Now, both players are in good form.

Chwalinska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chwalinska won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Maja Chwalinska - Silvia Ambrosio	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Simona Waltert - Maja Chwalinska	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Dalila Jakupovic - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Leonie Kung - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Maja Chwalinska - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW
- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Maja Chwalinska - Darja Semenistaja	2:0
25.11.24	Maja Chwalinska - Darja Semenistaja	1:2
25.07.24	Darja Semenistaja - Maja Chwalinska	1:2

Maja Chwalinska - Darja Semenistaja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide