Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Lisboa, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Darja Semenistaja		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.26	3.59
	1.21	3.85	Watch
	1.29	3.32	Watch
	1.23	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	3.48 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Semenistaja
73.4%

Francesca Curmi
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Darja Semenistaja - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 104. Curmi is ranked WTA: 321.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Semenistaja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Semenistaja is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Semenistaja won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Semenistaja
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Verena Meliss	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Anouk Koevermans	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Carson Branstine - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Tatiana Pieri - Francesca Curmi	Curmi F. retired ✺
15.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Verena Meliss	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Angelica Raggi	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Carson Branstine - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.02.23	Francesca Curmi - Darja Semenistaja	0:2

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