Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan (Poland), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday

Referee: Borghei A. (Irn)


	Maks Kasnikowski		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.53	2.63
	1.53	2.63
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.52	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)	2.49 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
62.2%

Dalibor Svrcina
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalibor Svrcina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalibor Svrcina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Maks Kasnikowski - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Svrcina will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasnikowski is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Svrcina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Svrcina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kasnikowski will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kasnikowski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWW
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Gianluca Mager - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
17.06.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Franco Agamenone	Canceled ✺
11.06.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Martin Klizan	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Lukas Neumayer - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.08.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2

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