Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan (Poland), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Sobieraj W. (Pol)


	Maks Kasnikowski		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.63
	1.51	2.63
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.84	Watch
	1.43	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)	2.64 ↓ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
64.5%

Giovanni Fonio
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	0%	82.1%

Maks Kasnikowski - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Fonio will win (votes: 23 - 82.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonio: 67.9% – 96.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kasnikowski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kasnikowski will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
07.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWL
- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
29.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Maks Kasnikowski - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide