Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.72	2.15
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)	2.06 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
54.9%

Maks Kasnikowski
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sumit Nagal - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 281. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 325.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kasnikowski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sumit Nagal - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Sumit Nagal - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Laurent Lokoli - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Carles Cordoba - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Iliyan Radulov - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0

Sumit Nagal - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide