Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Manon Leonard		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
	3.4	1.3
	3	1.36
	3.25	1.29	Watch
	3.64	1.3
	3.52	1.29	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.38	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.25)	1.31 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manon Leonard
28.4%

Lucrezia Stefanini
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manon Leonard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manon Leonard's form might have worsened.

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucrezia Stefanini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manon Leonard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manon Leonard - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Leonard is ranked WTA: 186. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 148.

Leonard is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Stefanini has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Stefanini is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Cindy Langlais - Manon Leonard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Manon Leonard - Caroline Dolehide	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.04.25	Manon Leonard - Hanne Van De Winkel	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
13.04.25	Manon Leonard - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Manon Leonard - Dalila Spiteri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Roma
07.05.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Aleksandra Krunic - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Teodora Kostovic - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Erika Andreeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

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