Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Teodora Kostovic		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.53
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.11	1.74
	2.25	1.62
	2.1	1.74	Watch
	2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.65)	1.68 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teodora Kostovic
43.9%

Lucrezia Stefanini
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teodora Kostovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Teodora Kostovic's performance.

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucrezia Stefanini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teodora Kostovic than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teodora Kostovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucrezia Stefanini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Teodora Kostovic - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kostovic will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Stefanini will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stefanini: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kostovic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kostovic is ranked WTA: 625. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 150.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Stefanini will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Teodora Kostovic
WTA Madrid
21.04.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Teodora Kostovic	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.25	Greetje Minnen - Teodora Kostovic	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Teodora Kostovic - Olivia Gadecki	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.25	Teodora Kostovic - Martyna Kubka	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Sina Herrmann - Teodora Kostovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWLW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Madrid
21.04.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Erika Andreeva	2:0 ✺
WTA Bogota
01.04.25	Emiliana Arango - Lucrezia Stefanini	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
18.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Rebecca Sramkova	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Ysaline Bonaventure - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?LLW

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