Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AMERSFOORT (NETHERLANDS), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday


	Manuel Guinard		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.54	1.5
	2.67	1.5
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.54	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.1)	1.5 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Guinard
37.3%

Jakub Mensik
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manuel Guinard's form might have worsened.

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jakub Mensik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manuel Guinard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	0%	77.3%

Manuel Guinard - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Guinard will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Mensik will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guinard is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mensik is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mensik will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Manuel Guinard - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
11.07.23	Norbert Gombos - Manuel Guinard	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Calvin Hemery - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Manuel Guinard	1:2 ✺
07.07.23	Manuel Guinard - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
14.07.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Jakub Mensik - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
19.06.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL

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