Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Manuel Guinard		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	3.25	1.33
	2.9	1.36
	3.05	1.33
	3.19	1.37
	2.98	1.34
	3	1.36
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	3.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.49)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Guinard
30.5%

Mattia Bellucci
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manuel Guinard's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manuel Guinard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manuel Guinard - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guinard is ranked ATP: 268. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 106.

Recent matches Guinard is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bellucci is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bellucci to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ATP Antwerp
14.10.24	Alexey Vatutin - Manuel Guinard	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Michael Geerts - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Manuel Guinard - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
03.10.24	Manuel Guinard - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	August Holmgren - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
20.10.24	Martin Landaluce - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Constant Lestienne - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Hynek Barton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Maxime Janvier - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Manuel Guinard - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide