Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Marat Sharipov		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.92	1.84	Watch
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.90	1.92
	1.85	1.83	Watch
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.09)	1.86 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marat Sharipov
49.9%

Dalibor Svrcina
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marat Sharipov's performance.

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalibor Svrcina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marat Sharipov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalibor Svrcina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marat Sharipov - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sharipov is ranked ATP: 238., and Svrcina is ranked ATP: 124..

Sharipov has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Svrcina has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Svrcina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Dalibor Svrcina - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.67%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Elias Ymer - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Valentin Royer	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

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