Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finalsDate: 3 September 2026, ThursdayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
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Luciano Darderi |
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Dalibor Svrcina |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.67 |
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2.2 |
 Watch |
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1.65 |
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2.18 |
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1.67 |
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2.15 |
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1.76 |
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2.21 |
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1.69 |
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2.17 |
Watch |
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1.72 |
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2.14 |
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1.7 |
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2.21 |
Watch |
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1.66 |
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2.18 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.45) |
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2.18 ↓
(2.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 37.75
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luciano Darderi
56.3% | Dalibor Svrcina
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalibor Svrcina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalibor Svrcina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Luciano Darderi will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Preview
Darderi is ranked ATP: 22. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 134.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 3.Darderi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Svrcina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
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Last Results with these Odds
Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 66.36%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Los Cabos | | | 30.07.26 | Dalibor Svrcina - Luciano Darderi | Darderi L. Retired | | ATP Challenger | | | 30.03.25 | Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina | 2:1 | | 31.10.23 | Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina | 2:0 | | 24.10.23 | Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina | Canceled | | 05.06.23 | Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina | 1:2 | | 14.07.22 | Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina | 2:1 |
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