Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Elias Ymer		Marat Sharipov

	1	2
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.95	1.38	Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.95	1.42
	2.73	1.40	Watch
	2.17	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.56)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
34.6%

Marat Sharipov
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Elias Ymer - Marat Sharipov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sharipov will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sharipov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Sharipov (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sharipov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 197. Sharipov is ranked ATP: 364.

Ymer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sharipov is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sharipov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sharipov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Sharipov will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Elias Ymer - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Elias Ymer - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Elias Ymer - Semen Pankin	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Elias Ymer - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Elias Ymer	Ymer E. Retired ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWL?L
- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Thomas John Fancutt	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Ilya Ivashka	Canceled ✺
13.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Marat Sharipov	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WW?LW

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