Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Marc Polmans		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.44	1.58
	2.34	1.55	Watch
			Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.75)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
39.5%

Alex Bolt
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marc Polmans's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Marc Polmans - Alex Bolt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Polmans is ranked ATP: 430. Bolt is ranked ATP: 238.

Polmans is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bolt has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polmans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bolt might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polmans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Marc Polmans - Aryan Shah	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Scott Jones - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Dane Sweeny - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Marc Polmans - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Filip Peliwo - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Alex Bolt - Maxim Zhukov	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Billy Harris - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
24.05.21	Alex Bolt - Marc Polmans	1:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
01.07.20	Marc Polmans - Alex Bolt	2:1
ATP Challenger
03.01.18	Alex Bolt - Marc Polmans	2:0

Marc Polmans - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide