Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2 (Australia), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Marc Polmans		Shintaro Imai

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.8
	1.22	3.85	Watch
	1.23	4.18
	1.24	4.11	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.22	4.02	Watch
	1.22	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.39)	3.95 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
76.3%

Shintaro Imai
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marc Polmans's performance.

Shintaro Imai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Imai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marc Polmans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Imai than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Imai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marc Polmans - Shintaro Imai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Polmans is ranked ATP: 231. Imai is ranked ATP: 433.

Recent matches Polmans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Imai is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Imai could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Polmans is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Marc Polmans - Zura Tkemaladze	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Omar Jasika - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	Blake Ellis - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
10.10.24	Moerani Bouzige - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Corey Gaal - Marc Polmans	Gaal C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWW?
- Shintaro Imai
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Taisei Ichikawa - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.24	Shintaro Imai - Kousuke Ogura	Canceled ✺
12.09.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Shintaro Imai	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Keisuke Saitoh - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
11.09.24	Hiroki Sakagawa - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W?LWW

Marc Polmans - Shintaro Imai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide