Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Marcel Zielinski		Adan Freire Da Silva

	1	2
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marcel Zielinski
40.9%

Adan Freire Da Silva
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Adan Freire Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcel Zielinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adan Freire Da Silva than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adan Freire Da Silva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Zielinski is ranked ATP: 674. Freire Da Silva is ranked ATP: 928.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Freire Da Silva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Freire Da Silva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Marcel Zielinski - Radu David Turcanu	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Marcel Zielinski - Ignacio Parisca	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Marcel Zielinski - Jordi Garcia Mestre	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Marcel Zielinski - Julian Valenzuela	Valenzuela J. walkover ✺
16.01.26	Marcel Zielinski - Sean Cuenin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLW?L
- Adan Freire Da Silva
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Adan Freire Da Silva	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Alexis Gautier - Adan Freire Da Silva	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Adan Freire Da Silva - Vladislav Melnic	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Adan Freire Da Silva - Amaury Raynel	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Adan Freire Da Silva - Aubin Rouillon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW

Marcel Zielinski - Adan Freire Da Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide