Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Marcello Serafini		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
			Watch
	3	1.33
	3.11	1.33
	3.19	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.09	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.58)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcello Serafini
29.8%

Andrea Picchione
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcello Serafini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcello Serafini's form might have worsened.

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Picchione's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Marcello Serafini - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Serafini is ranked ATP: 584. Picchione is ranked ATP: 365.

Serafini is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Picchione is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Serafini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Picchione is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Serafini won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
14.04.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Thando Longwe-Smit - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Marcus Walters - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Vladimir Bazilevskiy - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Andrea Picchione
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Arthur Gea - Andrea Picchione	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Andrea Picchione	Dellavedova M. retired ✺
15.04.25	Michele Ribecai - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Andrea Picchione - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Andrea Picchione - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.06.23	Andrea Picchione - Marcello Serafini	1:2
10.09.22	Marcello Serafini - Andrea Picchione	2:0
24.08.22	Marcello Serafini - Andrea Picchione	0:2

Marcello Serafini - Andrea Picchione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide