Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 13, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 13 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Marcello Serafini

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Gabriele Pennaforti
65.7%

Marcello Serafini
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 393. Serafini is ranked ATP: 580.

Pennaforti has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Serafini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pennaforti will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pennaforti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
07.04.25	Giovanni Oradini - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Milos Karol - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Daniel Rincon - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Orlando Luz - Gabriele Pennaforti	Pennaforti G. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?
- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Thando Longwe-Smit - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Marcus Walters - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Vladimir Bazilevskiy - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Bogdan Pavel - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

ITF Tournaments
18.06.24	Marcello Serafini - Gabriele Pennaforti	1:2
13.10.23	Marcello Serafini - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1

Gabriele Pennaforti - Marcello Serafini