Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Fano, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Marcello Serafini		Gabriele Crivellaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.00
	1.64	2.10
	1.74	2.11
	1.65	2.07	Watch
	1.72	2.08
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.52)	2.07 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcello Serafini
55%

Gabriele Crivellaro
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcello Serafini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcello Serafini's form might have worsened.

Gabriele Crivellaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriele Crivellaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcello Serafini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Crivellaro than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Crivellaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marcello Serafini - Gabriele Crivellaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Serafini is ranked ATP: 1217. Crivellaro is ranked ATP: 1359.

Serafini has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Crivellaro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Crivellaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Peter Buldorini - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Marcello Serafini - John Hallquist Lithen	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Marcello Serafini - Alexander Gschiel	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Marcello Serafini - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- Gabriele Crivellaro
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Justin Schlageter - Gabriele Crivellaro	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Gabriele Crivellaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.5 WWLWW

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