The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 53.4%
Alvaro Guillen Meza 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.
Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
0%
77.8%
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 50.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 122.Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 213.
In recent matches, Barrios Vera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Guillen Meza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Guillen Meza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barrios Vera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barrios Vera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
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