Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Concepcion 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniel Vallejo		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.43	Watch
	1.6	2.45
	1.25	3.62	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)	2.62 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
63.9%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Barrios Vera (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 146. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 107.

Vallejo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barrios Vera is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Vallejo will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vallejo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.59%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Daniel Vallejo - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Daniel Vallejo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Michael Zheng	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
03.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0

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