Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.10	1.33	Watch
	3.20	1.33
	3.33	1.37
	3.32	1.28	Watch
	3.00	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.75)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
29.5%

Benjamin Bonzi
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benjamin Bonzi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bonzi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 138. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 99.

Barrios Vera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bonzi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bonzi is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Luka Pavlovic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Harold Mayot - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Benjamin Bonzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide